Bihar Election Exit Poll 2020 Result updates: Mahagathbandhan likely to win, says most pollsters; Nitish's approval ratings drop

According to India Today-Axis My India exit polls, the Mahagathbandhan has been projected to win a comfortable majority. Here are the projected numbers. 

Speaking to CNN-news18 after a near-unanimous poor projection of NDA’s performance by various pollsters, BJP leader Aprajita Sarangi said, “With the support of Prime Minister Narendra Modi,

the Nitish Kumar government has done extremely well. These are not the real results."

ABP-C Voter, TV9 Bahartvarsh, Republic-Jan Ki Baat and Times Now C Voter surveys have given Mahagathbandhan a lead, but have also been inclined towards calling it a hung house in the

knife-edge race. 

Today’s Chanakya’s results are starkly different as the pollster has claimed that Tejashwi Yadav will become the next chief minister after a landslide win of 180 seats. NDA will be limited

to around 55 seats.

A vote projection for Bihar election by Today’s Chanakya predicts that the BJP-JDU will be limited to 55 (plus-minus 11 seats), while Mahagathbandhan will come to power with a decisive 180

(plus-minus 11 seats). Others are expected to get 8 (plus-minus 4) seats.

The Today’s Chanakya survey also released a caste-wise break-up of voting pattern in this election. According to the survey, 60 percent upper caste respondents voted for the BJP-JDU, while

29 percent voted for Congress-RJD. It further said that 69 percent Yadavs voted for the RJD-Congress, while 22 percent picked BJP-JDU. Muslim voters also favoured the RJD-Congress as per the

survey.

ABP News-C Voter survey, without giving the demographic break up of survey responders, said in its bulletin that millennials and first time voters have preferred Tejashwi over Nitish in

these elections. The news channel said that contrary to what’s deemed BJP’s core constituency, the youth supported the mahagathbandhan this time, whereas more aged voters, who presumably

were still around during the 15-year-long RJD rule have chosen to back Nitish despite some element of disenchantment and dispondency. 

Likewise, India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll also reported that 47 percent of voters aged between 18 to 35 years back Tejashwi Yadav, while voters aged between 51 and above overwhelmingly

wanted Nitish back in power.

Today’s Chanakya has started revealing its projections. The pollster has given the RJD and Congress-led grand alliance a majority share of the total votes at 44 percent in Bihar Assembly

election, while the NDA will get 34 percent of vote share. Other parties, including Chirag Paswan’s LJP, received 22%, it predicted.

India Today-My Axis Poll, which is yet to reveal its final projections for the Bihar Assembly Election, has said that 44 percent of survey responders preferred Tejashwi Yadav as the next

Bihar chief minister, while 35 percent want JDU’s Nitish Kumar to get anotehr term.

While the numbers predicted by each pollster varies, almost all exit poll surveys have agreed on one thing that the difference in vote share will not exceed 2-3 percent. This means that the

fight for Bihar is expected to be a pitched battle between Opposition mahagathbandhan and ruling NDA. The ABP News-C Voter survey has given the Tejashwi-lead alliance 108-131 seat, and the

magic number is firmly in the middle of that window. So the ball can roll either way.

Likewise, Republic jan Ki Baat has given RJD+ a clearer lead, but even it agrees that the Mahagathbandhan can stop short of the magic number by yeo seats.

According to Republic Jan ki Baat survey, the Mahagathbandhan could form the government in Bihar with 118-138, where the alliance needs 122 MLAs to get a majority, The NDA, meanwhile, is

projected to win 91-117 seats, LJP could get 5-8 seats, while others are projected to win 3-6 seats.

Madhya Pradesh By-Election Exit Poll Results 2020 LIVE Updates

According to Republic Jan ki Baat survey, the Mahagathbandhan could form the government in Bihar with 118-138, where the alliance needs 122 MLAs to get a majority, The NDA, meanwhile, is

projected to win 91-117 seats, LJP could get 5-8 seats, while others are projected to win 3-6 seats.

Madhya Pradesh By-Election Exit Poll Results 2020 LIVE Updates

According to projections of Aaj Tak and India Today – My India Axis Exit Poll in MP bypoll, Congress may get 10-12 seats out of the 28 seats that went to poll while BJP gets 46% votes and

may bag 16-18 seats.

Here are the party wise projections of the ABP News-C Voter survey. It is noteworthy that this is as per the data collected till 5 pm only. The pollster will update its data later based on

the responses collected during last one hour of polling. 

The first projection coming in from Times Now C-Voter survey predicted a lead for Tejashwi Yadav-lead Mahagathbandhan in the Bihar polls. But the alliance comprising RJD, Congress, CPM and

other small parties may stop short of the magic number of 122. The numbers are as follows:

Hung house can’t be ruled out based on ABP News-C Voter survey

The pollster has released its survey data collected till 5 pm toady. The survey claims that a hung house cannot be ruled out as both alliances will be in a neck and neck battle. The NDA is

projected to get 104-128 in the 243-member house, whereas Mahagathbandhan could ger 108-131 seats. The magic number in Bihar Assembly is 122

As we still await the outcome of Exit Poll results, here is a glance at a pre-poll opinion survey.

The Opinion survey by C Voter had predicted a pro-incumbency result, suggesting that Janata Dal (United) president Nitish Kumar will retain the chief minister’s post despite abysmal approval

ratings. Pollster CVoter had published these after speaking to 30,678 people across all 243 seats between1 and 23 October. 

The survey uggested that 41.22 percent of the respondents were not satisfied at all with Nitish’s performance, while 61.1 percent desperately wanted a change in power. But despite that, that

the NDA could win 135-159 seats in the 243-member Bihar Legislative Assembly, which is comfortably higher than the magic number (122). The Mahagathbandhan is likely to secure 77-98 seats,

according to the survey.

Pollster C Voter in collaboration with APB News will start releasing its projections from 6.30 pm onwards. The region wise updates and party wise performance estimates based on voter

responses across all Assembly seats will be updated here shortly.

Othe key candidates include wife and daughter-in-law respectively of recently deceased ministers Vinod Kumar Singh (BJP) and Kapil Deo Kamat (JDU), respectively, are in the fray from the

late legislators’ respective seats Pranpur and Babubarhi. Another keenly watched candidate is Subhashini Yadav from Bihariganj whose father, veteran socialist leader and former Union

minister Sharad Yadav.

Armed with an MBA degree in marketing, the 30-year-old has made a sudden plunge into politics. Her assembly segment falls under Madhepura Lok Sabha seat which her father has won a number of

times but lost in 2014 and failed to wrest back last year. Suhasini is contesting on a Congress ticket.

In the Valmiki Nagar Parliamentary seat, the JD(U) has fielded former MP Baidyanath Mahato’s son Sunil Kumar. He is facing the primary challenge from Congress candidate Pravesh Kumar Mishra,

a journalist-turned-politician.

Over 47 percent of the 2.34 crore voters have so far exercised their franchise in the third phase of the Bihar Assembly elections, according to provisional figures provided by the EC.

Prominent candidates contesting in the third phase include Vijay Kumar Chaudhary of JD(U), Speaker of the outgoing Assembly, who seeks to do a hat-trick in Sarairanjan. JD(U) ministers in

the fray are Bijendra Prasad Yadav (Supaul), Narendra Narayan Yadav (Alamnagar), Maheshwar Hazari (Kalyanpur), Ramesh Rishideo (Singheshwar), Khurshid alias Firoz Ahmed (Sikta), Lakshmeshwar

Roy (Laukaha), Bima Bharti (Rupauli) and Madan Sahni (Bahadurpur). Four ministers are in the fray from the BJP PramodKumar (Motihari), Suresh Sharma (Muzaffarpur), Binod NarayanJha

(Benipatti) and Krishnakumar Rishi (Banmankhi).