Coronavirus deaths: how likely are you to die of covid-19? New calcula

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Coronavirus deaths: how likely are you to die of covid-19? New calcula"


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The coronavirus death toll currently stands at almost 300,000 around the globe. In the UK, there have been 33,614 deaths as of May 14. Scientists are still undertaking research into the


virus about who exactly has the highest risk of death from the deadly virus. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported up to May 1, there were 33,407 deaths registered in England and


Wales involving COVID-19. The majority of deaths were among people aged over 65 at a total of 30,978 deaths. In total, 59 percent of these occurred it the over-85 age group. Only 12 percent


of deaths have been in the under 65 categories, a total of 4,066 deaths. READ MORE: CORONAVIRUS SECOND WAVE ALERT: EUROPE TO BE HIT BY DEADLY SECOND PEAK Pensioners are 34 times more likely


to die of coronavirus than working age Britons. Age, however, is just one factor that impacts a person’s vulnerability. Research has revealed ethnicity, deprivation, pre-existing health


conditions and occupation also affect to an individual’s risk of dying. The death rate among the working population differs by gender at 9.9 per 100,000 people and 5.2 per 100,000 women.


Scientists have said they have developed a way of showing people their personal risk of dying form COVID-19. The University College London’s coronavirus calculator factors in their age, sex


and any underlying health conditions to work out their risk of death. Additionally, the calculator tool calculates one’s risk-based upon the current risk of infection and the strain on the


NHS. The tool was made public in a report in The Lancet which used data from roughly 3.8 million health records and based on conclusions on England having a 10 percent infection rate and 20


percent of people having a high-risk condition. The scientists have warned there may be up to 73,000 deaths as a result of the outbreak depending on lockdown easing measures. Dr Amitava


Banerjee said: “For example, we show how a 66-year-old man with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease has a 6 percent risk of dying over the next year and there are 25,000 'patients


like me' (ie men of the same age with the same condition) in England. “The calculator estimates 164 excess COVID-19-related deaths on top of the expected 1,639 deaths over a year in


patients in a similar situation.” He added: “Our findings show the mortality risk for these vulnerable groups increases significantly and could lead to thousands of avoidable deaths.” Author


Professor Harry Hemmingway said keeping the infection rate low among members of the public is important to keeping vulnerable persons safe. He said doctors “need to continue to deliver


high-quality medical care to vulnerable people to prevent excess deaths in those who are not infected with coronavirus.” Professor Hemmingway said: “Our findings emphasise the importance of


delivering consistent preventive interventions to people with a wide range of diseases, who are cared for by a wide range of clinical specialities. “This policy is only possible because we


have an NHS able to use system-wide data for patient benefit.” You can try the calculator here.


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