Why ‘boss’ is a warning sign for melissa mccarthy’s b. O. Machine, even if it taps ‘batman v superman’ on the chin

3RD WRITE THRU, 9:20AM SATURDAY: As of this morning, Universal’s R-rated comedy _THE BOSS _is drawing a line in the sand with Warner Bros.’ _BATMAN V. SUPERMAN: DAWN OF JUSTICE _with each

looking at a projected weekend of $21.8M as they wrestle for No. 1.  Both are coming in toward the lower end of expectations, and part of that has to do with spring breaks in slowdown mode.

ComScore says 15% of all schools were out yesterday, down from 30% a week ago, while 4% will be off on Monday. However other reasons abound for both titles’ light ticket sales. If _Boss 

_wins it will be by a couple hundred thousand. Even though _The Boss _is considered a win internally for Universal, and will likely profit off its estimated $29M production cost and $70M

global P&A, others in the industry say the R-rated comedy is a cautionary tale for the bankable Melissa McCarthy. _The Boss_ didn’t turn on audiences and critics who, respectively,

graded her a nasty C+ CinemaScore and a stinky 18% on Rotten Tomatoes. That’s a progress report which brings to mind McCarthy’s _Tammy_ (the 5-day opener made $21.6M over its FSS), which

like _Boss, _was directed by her husband and fellow Groundling alum Ben Falcone. _Tammy _posted a 3.9 multiple for an $84.5M domestic B.O. off a C+ grade and awful reviews of 23% rotten._ 

_But aside from the comp, rivals are noticing that the returns and audience/critical reactions for McCarthy’s fare are ebbing. Should studios continue on this course, and throw whatever

McCarthy comedy against the wall, they could damage a solid star-driven B.O. machine which pulls in multiples of 3.8 to 4.1. _Spy _was supposed to open in the mid-$30M range and trickled its

way down to $29M. _The Boss_‘ opening will be -25% off from _Spy_‘s $29M opening last summer, which was down another 25% from her highest grossing opening, _The Heat_ ($39.1M). That action

comedy was also propped by Sandra Bullock’s marquee wattage. WATCH ON DEADLINE In regards to _The Boss’ _performance this weekend, one distribution chief, whose opinion was echoed by a

number of other rival sources, snarked, “She should stop doing movies with her husband!” As cruel as it sounds (Falcone is truly a nice guy), the point is that their pair-up as director and

star isn’t producing classic comedies. Furthermore, _Tammy_‘s overseas ticket sales were atrocious at $16M compared with the $124.8M chalked up by _Spy _and $70.3M by _The Heat. Deadline 

_sibling _Variety_ in its review of _The Boss _called it “the second big-screen love child” between McCarthy and Falcone “that’s one ugly baby.” Well, there are more kids coming as New Line

has just set up their third combo _Life of the Party. _ “She needs to do things that add to her repertoire by working with good directors,” one financier exclaimed citing McCarthy’s

collaborations with directors Paul Feig and Seth Gordon. While _The Boss _was based on a character that McCarthy hatched in her Groundlings sketch shows, the cocky rich woman is deemed as

quirky as her blue-collar _Tammy — _i.e., not as accessible as her foul-mouthed cop in _Heat, _her fish-out-of water CIA analyst-turned-field agent in _Spy, _her scene-stealing tough gal in 

_Bridesmaids _and her _Identity Thief. _And while I like to gloat how review-proof tentpoles and bawdy comedies are, a distribution chief reminded me today that the actress’ well-reviewed

fare “is the difference between a solid film with her fans or something bigger.” No disrespect to _Veronica Mars _star Kristen Bell, but it also makes a difference when McCarthy pairs

herself with a marquee name like Bullock. According to financial sources, _The Heat _made a $62M net profit after counting total theater rental, home entertainment and global TV streams at

$532.9M. Universal saw that the _The Boss _had more potential as an R-rated comedy than keeping it at PG-13. But they didn’t change-up the materials, and that’s rubbed some rivals the wrong

way. One studio executive wags his finger: “There’s a problem when you have an R-rated comedy and there are a lot of kids involved in the movie and in the marketing. That’s a fine line to

walk. ‘Hey kids let’s go get margaritas!’ ‘Hey, let’s go punch that person in the face!’ That’s hard for moviegoers to swallow. It’s fine to broaden your comedy’s audience, but just make

sure it’s for the right reasons. For example, Universal clearly sold _Neighbors _on its merits as an R-rated film.” One marketing point Uni definitely got right with _The Boss: _They

scrapped the film’s original title of _Michelle Darnell. _ Similar to _Spy, __The Boss _pulled in an older female audience at 62% women, 80% over 25. That crowd doesn’t come out all at once

during opening weekend, hence the reason why McCarthy does so well in her multiples. Sixty-two percent of moviegoers on Friday night said McCarthy was the main reason why they showed up,

which is in sync with the comedienne’s 64% draw on _Spy_. The only crowd that gave _The Boss _an A+ were the 4% under-18 who showed up. One imagines how much more _The Boss _would gross had

it stayed with a PG-13 rating. Would more under-18ers buy tickets? Both McCarthy and Falcone got out there to promote _The Boss, _appearing on _The Late Show With Stephen Colbert _and

engaging in a _Chopped_-like food-prep competition. The comedienne is receiving the MTV Comedic Genius Award this Sunday. She appeared on _Saturday Night Live _back on Feb. 11, however, that

episode re-aired on March 26 ahead of the movie. Bell was also on the PR tour too appearing on multiple radio and talk shows. Elsewhere at the B.O., _BvS _is still not as popular as other

superheros among fanboys. Its third weekend is less than what Uni’s _Furious 7 _took in during its third sesh with $29.7M, and it’s dogging _Iron Man 3’s _third weekend ($35.8M), which some

B.O. analysts have compared it to. _BvS_‘ domestic total of $295.1M looks to near _Zootopia_‘s six weekend cume by Sunday. Among superhero films’ third weekends, _BvS _is at the lower end,

however, note that most of them play in the summer when audiences are available, so it’s difficult to comp. _BvS _third frame is higher than _Man of Steel _($20.7M), but lower than _Iron Man

3 _($35.8M), which some have compared it to leg-wise. _BvS’ _worldwide B.O. now stands at $742.8M, inching closer to that $800M mark. Remember, our sources calculated that in order for _BvS

 _to turn a minimum profit in the theatrical window, it_ _would need to do about $925M in global ticket sales. Nonetheless, should the film fall short, it should still profit once ancillary

markets are counted. STX Entertainment’s $10M Toronto International Film Festival pick-up _HARDCORE HENRY _is a bloody mess with a $2M Friday, a $5.1M weekend and C+ black eye in fifth

place. This is well under the $7M-$10M projections that were being floated earlier in the week. STX has a $2M-$5M financial exposure on this first-person shooter which exhibitors feared

would give audiences motion sickness. While the target here were guy gamers 17-34, you have a better chance of dynamiting 60-year-olds out of their living rooms to watch _The Danish Girl 

_than_ _before getting vidgamers in the theater. STX was completely aware of these challenges, particularly in that _Henry_ was a difficult title to comp. Nonetheless, the studio vied to

give _Henry _the best launch it could with an SXSW debut: If you want to reach twentysomething fanboys and hipsters, it’s in Austin. The film’s 55% rotten tomato score is skewed: Only 77

critics reviewed it next to the 300-plus norm who file on a tentpole like _BvS. _The first _Henry_ trailer targeted gamers on the gaming platform Twitch. There was also an integration with

pioneering game developer Starbreeze through their game _Payday 2_, which is actively used by 9M-plus gamers. Special and original content from the movie was featured throughout the game in

recent days. Sixty-five percent of those who cared to watch _Henry _came out because of the type of movie it was, and they also gave it a C+. The film, directed by Ilya Naishuller, drew 73%

men, 54% over 25. The over-50 crowd that showed up at 6% gave _Henry _an F, while the under-18 demo at 13% was more forgiving with an A- CinemaScore. Fox Searchlight’s Jake Gyllenhaal drama 

_DEMOLITION _is, of course, not smashing any records with a projected $1.1M opening at 854 runs. Whenever indie films post this type of business in just under 1,000 theaters, the end results

aren’t good (some titles leg out to $2M or $3M). Also for an adult drama like this, _Demolition _doesn’t have the critical support at 51% rotten to provoke arthouse crowds to attend.

Gyllenhaal brilliantly loses himself on screen playing a tormented widower whose wife has died in a car crash, but it’s a dark, dark movie. Searchlight opened this at TIFF, and they were

wise to keep it out of last year’s awards season. Spring is less competitive, but with Searchlight taking this wide versus a platform, it’s obvious the label had to make its money back fast.

Prior to _Wild_‘s Oscar run and $52.5M global B.O., Searchlight beat out U.S. buyers to get back in business with director Jean-Marc Valle in October 2014. _Demolition _is based on a Black

List script by Bryan Sipe, and it was co-financed by Black Label Media and Sidney Kimmel Entertainment. Also, Bleecker Street’s drone political thriller _EYE IN THE SKY _chalked up a decent

hold of -33% in its fifth week, cracking the top 10 with $2.6M and a running total of $10.2M. Paramount’s Richard Linklater 1980s college kid comedy _EVERYBODY WANTS SOME!! _is showing a

hearty $7K per theater on its way to a second FSS of $461K, +47%. The Top 10 films based off Friday PM industry estimates for the weekend of April 8-10, 2016 _1).__BATMAN V SUPERMAN _(WB),

4,102 theaters (-154)/ $6.1M Fri. (-59%)/ 3-day cume: $21.8M (-58%)/Total Cume: $295.1M/ Wk 3 _THE BOSS _(UNI), 3,480 theaters/ $8.1M Fri.*/ 3-day cume: $21.8M/ Wk 1 *includes $985K Thursday

preview 3). _ZOOTOPIA _(DIS), 3,444 theaters (-254)/ $3.5M Fri. (-38%)/ 3-day cume: $14.2M (-26%)/Total Cume: $296.9M/Wk 6 4)._ MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 2 _(UNI), 3,027 theaters (-152)/

$1.9M Fri. (-46%) / 3-day cume: $6.2M (-45%)/Total Cume: $46.6M /Wk 3 5)._ HARDCORE HENRY _(STX), 3,015 theaters/ $2M** Fri./ 3-day cume: $5.1M/ Wk 1 **includes $380K Thursday preview 6)._ 

MIRACLES FROM HEAVEN _(SONY), 2,783 theaters (+372)/ $1.3M Fri.(-41%) / 3-day cume: $4.4M (-39%)/Total Cume: $53.4 M/ Wk 4 7)._ GOD’S NOT DEAD 2 _(PURE), 2,379 theaters (-40)/ $1.2 Fri

(-60%)./ 3-day cume: $4M (-48%)/Total cume: $13.8M/ Wk 2 8)._ ALLEGIANT _(LG), 2,503 theaters (-515)/ $1M Fri.  (-44%)/ 3-day cume: $3.4M (-40%)/Total cume: $61.7M/Wk 4 9)._ 10 CLOVERFIELD

LANE _(PAR), 1,886 theaters (-625)/ $818K Fri. (-42%) / 3-DAY: $2.7M (-41%)/Total cume: $67.7M / Wk 5 10). _EYE IN THE SKY _(BLST), 1,089 theaters (+60)/ $790K Fri. (-33%) / 3-day cume: 

$2.6M (-34%)/Total Cume: $10.2M/ Wk 5 NOTABLES: _MEET THE BLACKS _(FREE), 1,007 theaters (-8)/ $572K Fri (-60%)./ 3-day cume: $2M (-52%)/Total cume: $7.2M/ Wk 2 _DEMOLITION _(FSL), 854

theaters / $363K Fri/ 3-day cume: $1.1M/ Wk 1 _MIDNIGHT SPECIAL _(WB), 493 theaters (+435)/ $326K Fri. (+89%)/ 3-day cume: $1.05M (+91%)/Total Cume: $2.2M /Wk 4 _EVERYBODY WANTS SOME!! 

_(PAR), 63 theaters (+44) / $143K Fri. (+45%) / 3-day: $461K (+47%)/$7K PTA/Total cume: $925K/Wk 2 _MILES AHEAD _(SPC), 25 theaters (+21)/ $59K Fri. /3-day cume: $198K (+73%)/ Total cume:

$348K/Wk 2 _THE INVITATION _(DRFT), 6 theaters / $16K Fri/ 3-day cume: $47K/ Wk 1 _HIGH STRUNG _(PALA), 100 theaters / $13K Fri/ 3-day cume: $41K/ Wk 1 _MR. RIGHT _(FOCW), 35 theaters / $8K

Fri/ 3-day cume: $25K/ Wk 1 _LOUDER THAN BOMBS _(ORCH), 4 theaters / $8K Fri/ 3-day cume: $23K/ Wk 1 _VITA ACTIVA: THE SPIRIT _(ZTG), 1 theaters / $4K Fri/ 3-day cume: $10K/ Wk 1 _ONE MORE

TIME _(STARZ), 20 theaters / $3K Fri/ 3-day cume: $9K/ Wk 1 PREVIOUS, 12:19 PM: Warner Bros’ _BATMAN V SUPERMAN: DAWN OF JUSTICE _is now looking like it will come in lower with a decline of

50%-55% for $23.1M-$25.65M, which is just shy of the three-century mark with a running cume through its third weekend of $296.4M-$298.9M. Now, Warners wasn’t expecting the Zack Snyder film

to cross $300M this weekend, but rather during CinemaCon this coming week. I hear that the magic number internally which will really make Warner execs truly happy is $800M. Despite buzz that

advance ticket sales are clicking for Melissa McCarthy headliner _THE BOSS, _the R-rated pic is now looking at an $8M Friday — including last night’s near-$1M — and a $21M FSS. Older women

plan their visits to the cinema in groups, so there’s a chance its ticket sales could improve by nightfall. STX Entertainment’s first-person shooter _HARDCORE HENRY _is looking at $2.4M for

today, coming in closer to the lower end of its projections with $7M. Fox Searchlight’s _DEMOLITION _isn’t set to wow with a $1M-$1.5M opening for the weekend. More later. PREVIOUS, 7:21 AM:

Universal’s R-rated Melissa McCarthy comedy _THE BOSS _drew $985K from 7 PM shows last night at 2,533 theaters, however, Warner Bros.’ _BATMAN V SUPERMAN: DAWN OF JUSTICE_ continued to

reign supreme with a No. 1 take of $2.7M at 4,256. The Thursday night take for _The Boss _slots below McCarthy’s R-rated comedies _Spy _($1.5M), _Tammy _($1.3M) and _The Heat _($1M), but

those were all released in the summer when there’s better access to crowds. When _Boss _is compared to her February 2013 R-rated title _Identity Thief, _which made $409K on its preview

night, it fared quite well. _Identity Thief _went on to open to $34.6M. _The Boss_ is expected to rake in a FSS between $20M-$24M, while _BvS _per industry projections is looking at

$27M-$28M in first place, a -45 to -47% third-frame drop after falling precipitous -69% last weekend. Should _BvS _come in at that level, it will crack the $300M mark at the domestic B.O. 

Unlike last weekend, _BvS _is facing new competition, but it’s not losing that many theaters, exactly 154, as it moves from 4,256 to 4,102. A gross in the $20M neighborhood for _Boss, _puts

it in the vicinity of McCarthy’s _Tammy_ ($21.6M FSS),_ _which was also directed by her Groundlings alum-husband Ben Falcone. The film, about the downfall and noble rebound of the 14th

wealthiest woman in the U.S., was based on one of McCarthy’s characters at the Melrose Ave. sketch/improv theater. Per Fandango, _Boss _was outpacing _Tammy _in its advance ticket sales. STX

Entertainment has its first-person P.O.V. hyper-action title _HARDCORE HENRY _also going wide. STX bought the film out of Toronto two years ago for $10M and it is expected to gross $7M-$10M

over FSS in 3,000-plus runs, inclusive of 200 PLFs. The film previewed last night at 9 PM, and grossed $380K. Also per Fandango yesterday, _Henry _was outstripping last August’s _Hitman:

Agent 47 _in its advance ticket cycle. That movie opened to $8.3M. Critics on Rotten Tomatoes are giving _Henry _a 50% rotten score, which is better than what _Boss _is earning with an awful

19%. Fox Searchlight has last fall’s Toronto International Film Festival opener, _DEMOLITION, _about a husband who truly unwinds following his wife’s death. The drama starring Jake

Gyllenhaal is looking to pull in $2M-$3M at 854 locations. Critics are also divided on the title with a 53% rotten score.