A bullish options trade on amazon into earnings as the stock bounces off key support
A bullish options trade on amazon into earnings as the stock bounces off key support"
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With earnings as the primary focus this week, Amazon (AMZN) sits at the intersection of both enterprise and consumer spending. With Microsoft's earnings providing a glimpse into how
enterprise clients are continuing to add cloud services, my expectations are for AMZN to follow with a similar trend on Thursday's report. Additionally, after hosting its biggest Prime
day in July and October, spending and retail sales continue to show a resilient consumer. Moreover, Amazon's inroads into foreign markets such as Australia provide an additional boost
to Prime revenue. When we look at a chart of AMZN, we see that it has recently formed a support level around $125 and recently bounced higher off that level. AMZN 1Y mountain Amazon, 1-year
Moreover, we see that AMZN has continued to outperform both the tech and consumer discretionary sectors going into earnings, which is a strong indication of a potential beat. However, we
should remain cautiously optimistic as guidance for the rest of 2023 and into 2024 would likely be a primary driver of the stock's reaction after earnings. As the outlook for consumer
spending looks more uncertain, that is the primary risk I see going into this earnings report. My view is that we should utilize options to take a bullish view going into this earnings
report, thus mitigating those risks. The implied volatility on AMZN at the moment is quite high, with IV Rank sitting at 50%, so my preference is to be a seller of options. I'm looking
to sell the Dec 1 $124/$115 Put Vertical spread at a $3.17 credit. A vertical spread is selling options with the same expiration, but different strike prices. So this trade entails selling
the $124 put option and the $115 put which both expire Dec. 1. This strategy will risk $583 per contract if AMZN is below $115 on expiration with a maximum reward of $317 per contract if
AMZN is above $124 at expiration. DISCLOSURES: (None) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY . THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY
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